Lower Saxony
Election trend
Parties

Lower Saxony: Poll by INSA from 06.10.2017

Polling data

SPD
33.0
+5.0
CDU
32.0
-8.0
Grüne
10.0
+1.0
FDP
10.0
+1.0
AfD
7.0
±0.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
3.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
SPD
-0.4
CDU
+3.9
Grüne
-4.5
FDP
+5.3
AfD
-3.9
Linke
+2.3
INSA – 1005 respondents – 04.10.2017-06.10.2017
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Lower Saxony from INSA shows the following results: SPD 33%, CDU 32%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 10%, FDP 10%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, FDP might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.3 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SPD. With 44.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (04.10.2017 - 06.10.2017).

Coalition possibilities

135
Linke
7
SPD
46
Grüne
14
FDP
14
CDU
44
AfD
10
Majority requires 68 seats
SPD + CDU
90
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
74
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
72
CDU + FDP + AfD
68
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
67

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 04.10.2017 and 06.10.2017 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 33%, CDU 32%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 10%, FDP 10%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.