Lower Saxony
Election trend
Parties

Lower Saxony: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 12.10.2017

Polling data

SPD
34.5
+1.5
CDU
33.0
±0.0
Grüne
9.0
±0.0
FDP
9.0
-1.0
AfD
7.0
±0.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
2.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
SPD
+1.1
CDU
+4.9
Grüne
-5.5
FDP
+4.3
AfD
-3.9
Linke
+2.3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1001 respondents – 11.10.2017-12.10.2017
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher
In 40% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Lower Saxony from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: SPD 34.5%, CDU 33%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 9%, FDP 9%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 5%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.9 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SPD. With 44.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (11.10.2017 - 12.10.2017).

Coalition possibilities

135
Linke
7
SPD
48
Grüne
12
FDP
12
CDU
46
AfD
10
Majority requires 68 seats
SPD + CDU
94
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
72
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
70
CDU + FDP + AfD
68
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
67

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 11.10.2017 and 12.10.2017 among 1001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 34.5%, CDU 33%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 9%, FDP 9%, AfD 7% and Die Linke 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.