Lower Saxony
Election trend
Parties

Lower Saxony: Poll by Forsa from 23.08.2022

Polling data

SPD
29.0
-1.0
CDU
26.0
±0.0
Grüne
22.0
±0.0
AfD
8.0
+1.0
FDP
6.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
SPD
-4.4
CDU
-2.1
Grüne
+7.5
AfD
-2.9
FDP
+1.3
Linke
+0.3
Forsa – 2000 respondents – 16.08.2022-23.08.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 36% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Lower Saxony from Forsa shows the following results: SPD 29%, CDU 26%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 22%, AfD 8%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.5 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SPD. With 56.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (16.08.2022 - 23.08.2022).

Coalition possibilities

135
SPD
43
Grüne
33
FDP
9
CDU
38
AfD
12
Majority requires 68 seats
SPD + CDU
81
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
76
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
71

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 16.08.2022 and 23.08.2022 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 29%, CDU 26%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 22%, AfD 8%, FDP 6% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.