Upcoming elections:

Lower Saxony: Poll by Allensbach from 30.06.2023

Polling data

SPD
32.0
-2.0
CDU
29.0
+3.0
AfD
14.0
+7.0
Grüne
13.0
-2.0
FDP
5.0
-5.0
Linke
3.0
-1.0
Sonst.
4.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
Allensbach – 1101 respondents – 15.05.2023-30.06.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 32% of election polls Allensbach rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 41% of election polls, Allensbach rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Lower Saxony from Allensbach shows the following results: SPD 32%, CDU 29%, AfD 14%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.1 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SPD. With 48.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Allensbach. For this purpose, 1101 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 46 days (15.05.2023 - 30.06.2023).

Coalition possibilities

135
SPD
47
Grüne
19
FDP
7
CDU
42
AfD
20
Majority requires 68 seats
SPD + CDU
89
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
CDU + AfD + FDP
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
66
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
61

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by Allensbach. The survey took place between 15.05.2023 and 30.06.2023 among 1101 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 32%, CDU 29%, AfD 14%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, FDP 5% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.