Lower Saxony: Poll by INSA from 16.10.2023

Polling data

Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
INSA – 1000 respondents – 09.10.2023-16.10.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Lower Saxony from INSA shows the following results: CDU 29%, SPD 27%, AfD 17%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.1 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and SPD. With 46.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (09.10.2023 - 16.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.de-ni was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 09.10.2023 and 16.10.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 29%, SPD 27%, AfD 17%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.