Lower Saxony: Poll by Infratest dimap from 11.11.2023

Lower Saxony: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
28.0
-2.0
SPD
26.0
-6.0
AfD
18.0
+9.0
Grüne
13.0
-3.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Others
10.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
CDU
-0.1
SPD
-7.4
AfD
+7.1
Grüne
-1.5
FDP
+0.3
Infratest dimap – 1178 respondents – 06.11.2023-11.11.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lower Saxony from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 28%, SPD 26%, AfD 18%, Grüne 13% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.1 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 43.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1178 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (06.11.2023 - 11.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

135
Majority requires 68 seats
SPD
39
28.9%
Grüne
19
14.1%
FDP
8
5.9%
CDU
42
31.1%
AfD
27
20%
CDU + SPD
60.0%
CDU + Grüne + FDP
51.1%
CDU + AfD
51.1%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
48.9%
CDU + Grüne
45.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 06.11.2023 and 11.11.2023 among 1178 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 28%, SPD 26%, AfD 18%, Grüne 13% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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