Lower Saxony: Poll by Infratest dimap from 06.11.2024

Polling data

CDU
32.0
+4.0
SPD
25.0
-1.0
AfD
15.0
-3.0
Grüne
12.0
-1.0
BSW
4.0
+4.0
Others
12.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
CDU
+3.9
SPD
-8.4
AfD
+4.1
Grüne
-2.5
BSW
New
Infratest dimap – 1159 respondents – 31.10.2024-06.11.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Lower Saxony from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 32%, SPD 25%, AfD 15%, Grüne 12% and BSW 4%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.1 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Stephan Weil is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 44.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1159 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (31.10.2024 - 06.11.2024).

Coalition possibilities

135
Majority requires 68 seats
SPD
40
29.8%
Grüne
19
14.3%
CDU
52
38.1%
AfD
24
17.9%
CDU + SPD
68.1%
CDU + AfD
56.3%
CDU + Grüne
52.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 31.10.2024 and 06.11.2024 among 1159 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 32%, SPD 25%, AfD 15%, Grüne 12% and BSW 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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