Lower Saxony: Poll by Infratest dimap from 17.11.2025

Lower Saxony: Polling data

CDU
26.0
-6.0
SPD
26.0
+1.0
AfD
20.0
+5.0
Grüne
12.0
±0.0
Linke
6.0
+6.0
BSW
3.0
-1.0
FDP
3.0
+3.0
Others
4.0
-8.0
Development since the last election on 09.10.2022
CDU
-2.1
SPD
-7.4
AfD
+9.1
Grüne
-2.5
Linke
+3.3
BSW
New
FDP
-1.7
Infratest dimap – 1156 respondents – 12.11.2025-17.11.2025

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Lower Saxony is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Lower Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Lower Saxony from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 26%, SPD 26%, AfD 20%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 6%, BSW 3% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Lower Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.1 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Olaf Lies is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and SPD. With 42.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1156 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (12.11.2025 - 17.11.2025).

Coalition possibilities

135
Majority requires 68 seats
Linke
9
6.7%
SPD
39
28.9%
Grüne
18
13.3%
CDU
39
28.9%
AfD
30
22.2%
CDU + SPD
57.8%
CDU + AfD
51.1%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
48.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Lower Saxony was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 12.11.2025 and 17.11.2025 among 1156 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 26%, SPD 26%, AfD 20%, Grüne 12%, Die Linke 6%, BSW 3% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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