Luxembourg
Election trend
Parties

Luxembourg: Poll by TNS from 24.06.2020

Polling data

CSV
27.5
-2.6
DP
20.6
+4.0
LSAP
16.4
+1.4
DG
13.4
-2.5
ADR
8.2
-2.3
DL
7.3
+1.8
Pirat
4.8
-0.6
KPL
1.1
+0.3
DEM
0.3
+0.2
Kons.
0.2
±0.0
Sonst.
0.2
+0.3
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
CSV
-1.7
DP
+1.9
LSAP
-2.5
DG
+4.8
ADR
-1.1
DL
+3.4
Pirat
-1.9
KPL
+0.5
DEM
Kons.
TNS – 1811 respondents – 08.06.2020-24.06.2020
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Luxembourg is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Luxembourg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Luxembourg from TNS shows the following results: CSV 27.5%, Demokratesch Partei 20.6%, LSAP 16.4%, Déi Gréng 13.4%, ADR 8.2%, Déi Lénk 7.3%, Piratepartei 4.8%, KPL 1.1%, DEMOKRATIE 0.3% and Déi Konservativ 0.2%. If an election were held in Luxembourg this Sunday, Déi Gréng might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.8 growth since the last election. LSAP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Luc Frieden is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CSV and Demokratesch Partei. With 48.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by TNS. For this purpose, 1811 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 16 days (08.06.2020 - 24.06.2020).

Coalition possibilities

60
DL
4
LSAP
10
Pirat
3
DP
13
DG
8
CSV
17
ADR
5
Majority requires 31 seats
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + LSAP
40
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng
38
CSV + LSAP + Déi Gréng
35
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + ADR
35
Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng + ADR + Déi Lénk + Piratepartei
33
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + Piratepartei
33
Demokratesch Partei + LSAP + Déi Gréng
31
Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng + ADR + Déi Lénk
30
CSV + Déi Gréng + ADR
30
Demokratesch Partei + LSAP + Déi Lénk + Piratepartei
30
CSV + LSAP + Piratepartei
30
CSV + Demokratesch Partei
30

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Luxembourg was conducted by TNS. The survey took place between 08.06.2020 and 24.06.2020 among 1811 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSV 27.5%, Demokratesch Partei 20.6%, LSAP 16.4%, Déi Gréng 13.4%, ADR 8.2%, Déi Lénk 7.3%, Piratepartei 4.8%, KPL 1.1%, DEMOKRATIE 0.3% and Déi Konservativ 0.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.