Luxembourg
Election trend
Parties

Luxembourg: Poll by TNS from 28.11.2022

Polling data

CSV
23.3
+0.3
LSAP
20.7
+2.7
DP
18.4
+0.3
DG
12.1
-1.6
Pirat
9.6
-0.1
ADR
7.7
+0.1
DL
5.8
+0.2
Fokus
1.5
-1.4
KPL
0.5
+0.1
DEM
0.3
±0.0
Kons.
0.1
-0.1
Volt
0.1
-0.4
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
CSV
-5.9
LSAP
+1.8
DP
-0.3
DG
+3.5
Pirat
+2.9
ADR
-1.6
DL
+1.9
Fokus
-1.0
KPL
-0.1
DEM
Kons.
Volt
-0.1
TNS – 1839 respondents – 14.11.2022-28.11.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Luxembourg is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Luxembourg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Luxembourg from TNS shows the following results: CSV 23.3%, LSAP 20.7%, Demokratesch Partei 18.4%, Déi Gréng 12.1%, Piratepartei 9.6%, ADR 7.7%, Déi Lénk 5.8%, Fokus 1.5%, KPL 0.5%, DEMOKRATIE 0.3%, Déi Konservativ 0.1% and Volt 0.1%. If an election were held in Luxembourg this Sunday, Déi Gréng might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. CSV, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Luc Frieden is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CSV and Demokratesch Partei. With 41.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by TNS. For this purpose, 1839 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (14.11.2022 - 28.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

60
DL
3
LSAP
13
Pirat
6
DP
11
DG
7
CSV
15
ADR
5
Majority requires 31 seats
CSV + LSAP + Demokratesch Partei
39
CSV + LSAP + Déi Gréng
35
LSAP + Demokratesch Partei + Piratepartei + Déi Lénk
33
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng
33
CSV + LSAP + Piratepartei
34
Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng + Piratepartei + ADR + Déi Lénk
32
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + Piratepartei
32
LSAP + Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng
31
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + ADR
31
LSAP + Demokratesch Partei + Piratepartei
30

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Luxembourg was conducted by TNS. The survey took place between 14.11.2022 and 28.11.2022 among 1839 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSV 23.3%, LSAP 20.7%, Demokratesch Partei 18.4%, Déi Gréng 12.1%, Piratepartei 9.6%, ADR 7.7%, Déi Lénk 5.8%, Fokus 1.5%, KPL 0.5%, DEMOKRATIE 0.3%, Déi Konservativ 0.1% and Volt 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.