Luxembourg
Election trend
Parties

Luxembourg: Poll by TNS from 06.04.2023

Polling data

CSV
27.1
+3.8
LSAP
17.9
-2.8
DP
17.1
-1.3
DG
12.8
+0.7
Pirat
10.0
+0.4
ADR
7.5
-0.2
DL
4.3
-1.5
Fokus
2.0
+0.5
KPL
0.5
±0.0
Volt
0.4
+0.3
DEM
0.3
±0.0
Sonst.
0.1
+0.1
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
CSV
-2.1
LSAP
-1.0
DP
-1.6
DG
+4.2
Pirat
+3.3
ADR
-1.8
DL
+0.4
Fokus
-0.5
KPL
-0.1
Volt
+0.2
DEM
TNS – 1885 respondents – 23.03.2023-06.04.2023
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Luxembourg is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Luxembourg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Luxembourg from TNS shows the following results: CSV 27.1%, LSAP 17.9%, Demokratesch Partei 17.1%, Déi Gréng 12.8%, Piratepartei 10%, ADR 7.5%, Déi Lénk 4.3%, Fokus 2%, KPL 0.5%, Volt 0.4% and DEMOKRATIE 0.3%. If an election were held in Luxembourg this Sunday, Déi Gréng might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.2 growth since the last election. CSV, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Luc Frieden is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CSV and Demokratesch Partei. With 44.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by TNS. For this purpose, 1885 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (23.03.2023 - 06.04.2023).

Coalition possibilities

60
DL
2
LSAP
11
Pirat
6
Fokus
1
DP
11
DG
8
CSV
17
ADR
4
Majority requires 31 seats
CSV + LSAP + Demokratesch Partei
39
CSV + LSAP + Déi Gréng
36
LSAP + Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng + Piratepartei
36
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng
36
CSV + LSAP + Piratepartei
34
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + Piratepartei
34
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + ADR
32
CSV + Déi Gréng + Piratepartei
31
LSAP + Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng
30

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Luxembourg was conducted by TNS. The survey took place between 23.03.2023 and 06.04.2023 among 1885 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSV 27.1%, LSAP 17.9%, Demokratesch Partei 17.1%, Déi Gréng 12.8%, Piratepartei 10%, ADR 7.5%, Déi Lénk 4.3%, Fokus 2%, KPL 0.5%, Volt 0.4% and DEMOKRATIE 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.