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Luxembourg: Poll by Ilres from 16.08.2023

Polling data

CSV
28.3
±0.0
LSAP
19.8
±0.0
DP
17.4
±0.0
DG
10.7
±0.0
Pirat
9.6
±0.0
ADR
6.9
±0.0
DL
5.0
±0.0
Fokus
1.1
±0.0
KPL
0.4
±0.0
Kons.
0.1
±0.0
Sonst.
0.7
±0.0
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
CSV
-0.9
LSAP
+0.9
DP
-1.3
DG
+2.1
Pirat
+2.9
ADR
-2.4
DL
+1.1
Fokus
-1.4
KPL
-0.2
Kons.
New
Ilres – 1887 respondents – 07.08.2023-16.08.2023

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Luxembourg is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Luxembourg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Luxembourg from Ilres shows the following results: CSV 28.3%, LSAP 19.8%, Demokratesch Partei 17.4%, Déi Gréng 10.7%, Piratepartei 9.6%, ADR 6.9%, Déi Lénk 5%, Fokus 1.1%, KPL 0.4% and Déi Konservativ 0.1%. If an election were held in Luxembourg this Sunday, Piratepartei might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. ADR, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Luc Frieden is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CSV and Demokratesch Partei. With 46.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ilres. For this purpose, 1887 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (07.08.2023 - 16.08.2023).

Coalition possibilities

60
DL
3
LSAP
12
Pirat
6
DP
11
DG
6
CSV
18
ADR
4
Majority requires 31 seats
CSV + LSAP + Demokratesch Partei
41
CSV + LSAP + Déi Gréng
36
CSV + LSAP + Piratepartei
36
LSAP + Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng + Piratepartei
35
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng
35
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + Piratepartei
35
LSAP + Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng + Déi Lénk
32
CSV + Demokratesch Partei + ADR
33
LSAP + Demokratesch Partei + Piratepartei + Déi Lénk
32
Demokratesch Partei + Déi Gréng + Piratepartei + ADR + Déi Lénk
30
CSV + Déi Gréng + Piratepartei
30
CSV + LSAP
30

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Luxembourg was conducted by Ilres. The survey took place between 07.08.2023 and 16.08.2023 among 1887 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSV 28.3%, LSAP 19.8%, Demokratesch Partei 17.4%, Déi Gréng 10.7%, Piratepartei 9.6%, ADR 6.9%, Déi Lénk 5%, Fokus 1.1%, KPL 0.4% and Déi Konservativ 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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