Latest polls from Sagalytics
Rating of parties
Institute often rates PL lower
In 31% of election polls Sagalytics rates PL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PN higher
In 46% of election polls, Sagalytics rates PN higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Sagalytics pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.0 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Sagalytics's average ranking is 2.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction