Latest voting intention survey by Sagalytics for Malta
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Malta conducted by Sagalytics, the parties received the following results: PL 48.3%, PN 44.1% and ADPD 4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 09.10.2024 - 09.10.2024.
1000 participants
02.10.2024 - 09.10.2024
Sagalytics
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
67
Majority requires 34 seats
PL
34
50.7%
ADPD
2
3%
PN
31
46.3%
PL
PN
79
PolitPro Score
Sagalytics achieves a score of 79/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.0
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Sagalytics pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.0 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
0.95
|
Parliamentary Election in Malta 2022 | 1/2 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.