Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 22.09.2021

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
39.0
+1.0
AfD
16.0
-1.0
CDU
14.0
-1.0
Linke
11.0
±0.0
Grüne
7.0
+1.0
FDP
5.5
-0.5
Others
7.5
+0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
-0.6
AfD
-0.7
CDU
+0.7
Linke
+1.1
Grüne
+0.7
FDP
-0.3
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1015 respondents – 20.09.2021-22.09.2021

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 37% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: SPD 39%, AfD 16%, CDU 14%, Die Linke 11%, Grüne 7% and FDP 5.5%. If an election were held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.1 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Manuela Schwesig is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Die Linke and SPD. With 55.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1015 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (20.09.2021 - 22.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

71
Majority requires 36 seats
Linke
8
11.3%
SPD
31
43.7%
Grüne
5
7%
FDP
4
5.6%
CDU
11
15.5%
AfD
12
16.9%
SPD + CDU
59.2%
SPD + Die Linke
54.9%
SPD + Grüne
50.7%
SPD + FDP
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 20.09.2021 and 22.09.2021 among 1015 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 39%, AfD 16%, CDU 14%, Die Linke 11%, Grüne 7% and FDP 5.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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