Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 23.09.2021

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
40.0
+10.0
AfD
16.0
-4.0
CDU
13.5
-10.5
Linke
10.0
+1.0
Grüne
6.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Others
9.5
+2.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
+0.4
AfD
-0.7
CDU
+0.2
Linke
+0.1
Grüne
-0.3
FDP
-0.8
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1004 respondents – 18.09.2021-23.09.2021

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 40%, AfD 16%, CDU 13.5%, Die Linke 10%, Grüne 6% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.4 growth since the last election. FDP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Manuela Schwesig is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Die Linke and SPD. With 56.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (18.09.2021 - 23.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

71
Majority requires 36 seats
Linke
8
11.3%
SPD
32
45.1%
Grüne
4
5.6%
FDP
4
5.6%
CDU
10
14.1%
AfD
13
18.3%
SPD + CDU
59.2%
SPD + Die Linke
56.3%
SPD + FDP
50.7%
SPD + Grüne
50.7%
SPD
45.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 18.09.2021 and 23.09.2021 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 40%, AfD 16%, CDU 13.5%, Die Linke 10%, Grüne 6% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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