Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
Election trend
Parties

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 14.08.2022

Polling data

SPD
27.0
-6.0
AfD
24.0
+5.0
CDU
15.0
-2.5
Grüne
13.0
+2.0
Linke
8.0
+1.0
FDP
5.0
+1.0
Sonst.
8.0
-0.5
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
-12.6
AfD
+7.3
CDU
+1.7
Grüne
+6.7
Linke
-1.9
FDP
-0.8
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1000 respondents – 04.08.2022-14.08.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - The latest poll for the State election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 27%, AfD 24%, CDU 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.3 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Manuela Schwesig is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Die Linke and SPD. With 38.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (04.08.2022 - 14.08.2022).

Coalition possibilities

71
Linke
6
SPD
21
Grüne
10
FDP
3
CDU
12
AfD
19
Majority requires 36 seats
SPD + CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
43
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
37
SPD + CDU + FDP
36
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
34
SPD + CDU
33

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 04.08.2022 and 14.08.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 27%, AfD 24%, CDU 15%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.