Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
Election trend
Parties

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Poll by Forsa from 23.01.2023

Polling data

SPD
27.0
-7.0
AfD
21.0
+5.0
CDU
18.0
+2.0
Linke
12.0
±0.0
Grüne
9.0
+2.0
FDP
4.0
-1.0
Sonst.
9.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
SPD
-12.6
AfD
+4.3
CDU
+4.7
Linke
+2.1
Grüne
+2.7
FDP
-1.8
Forsa – 1004 respondents – 18.01.2023-23.01.2023
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is expected to take place in 2026.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 36% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - The latest poll for the State election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern from Forsa shows the following results: SPD 27%, AfD 21%, CDU 18%, Die Linke 12%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 9% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.7 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Manuela Schwesig is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Die Linke and SPD. With 44.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (18.01.2023 - 23.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

71
Linke
10
SPD
22
Grüne
7
CDU
15
AfD
17
Majority requires 36 seats
SPD + Die Linke + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
39
SPD + CDU
37

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 18.01.2023 and 23.01.2023 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 27%, AfD 21%, CDU 18%, Die Linke 12%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 9% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.