Upcoming elections:

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Poll by Forsa from 03.05.2024

Polling data

AfD
25.0
-6.0
SPD
20.0
-1.0
CDU
19.0
+1.0
BSW
14.0
+9.0
Grüne
7.0
-1.0
Linke
6.0
-2.0
FDP
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
±0.0
Forsa – 1005 respondents – 25.04.2024-03.05.2024
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is expected to take place in 2026.
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 37% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates BSW lower
In 48% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - The latest poll for the State election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern from Forsa shows the following results: AfD 25%, SPD 20%, CDU 19%, BSW 14%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%, Die Linke 6% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.3 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-19.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Manuela Schwesig is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Die Linke and SPD. With 28.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (25.04.2024 - 03.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

71
Linke
4
SPD
16
Grüne
5
BSW
11
CDU
15
AfD
20
Majority requires 36 seats
AfD + CDU + BSW
SPD + CDU + BSW
SPD + BSW + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Die Linke
SPD + CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
AfD + BSW + Die Linke
AfD + CDU
35

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 25.04.2024 and 03.05.2024 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 25%, SPD 20%, CDU 19%, BSW 14%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7%, Die Linke 6% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.