Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Hamburg
Germany

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Poll by INSA from 23.09.2024

Polling data

AfD
25.0
±0.0
CDU
21.0
+1.0
SPD
20.0
-3.0
BSW
17.0
+3.0
Grüne
5.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
-1.0
FDP
2.0
-2.0
Sonst.
6.0
+3.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
AfD
+8.3
CDU
+7.7
SPD
-19.6
BSW
New
Grüne
-1.3
Linke
-5.9
FDP
-3.8
INSA – 1000 respondents – 16.09.2024-23.09.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 41% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 36% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - The latest poll for the State election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern from INSA shows the following results: AfD 25%, CDU 21%, SPD 20%, BSW 17%, Grüne 5%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 2%. If an election were held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.3 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-19.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Manuela Schwesig is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Die Linke and SPD. With 22.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (16.09.2024 - 23.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

71
SPD
16
Grüne
4
BSW
14
CDU
17
AfD
20
Majority requires 36 seats
CDU + SPD + BSW
47
CDU + SPD + Grüne
37
AfD + CDU
37
CDU + BSW + Grüne
35
CDU + SPD
33

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 16.09.2024 and 23.09.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 25%, CDU 21%, SPD 20%, BSW 17%, Grüne 5%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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