Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Poll by Infratest dimap from 28.10.2024

Polling data

AfD
28.0
+2.0
SPD
22.0
+1.0
CDU
19.0
-2.0
BSW
14.0
+4.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
Grüne
4.0
-4.0
Others
8.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
AfD
+11.3
SPD
-17.6
CDU
+5.7
BSW
New
Linke
-4.9
Grüne
-2.3
Infratest dimap – 1153 respondents – 23.10.2024-28.10.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania from Infratest dimap shows the following results: AfD 28%, SPD 22%, CDU 19%, BSW 14%, Die Linke 5% and Grüne 4%. If an election were held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.3 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-17.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Manuela Schwesig is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Die Linke and SPD. With 31.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1153 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (23.10.2024 - 28.10.2024).

Coalition possibilities

71
Majority requires 36 seats
Linke
4
5.6%
SPD
18
25.4%
BSW
11
15.5%
CDU
15
21.1%
AfD
23
32.4%
SPD + CDU + BSW
62.0%
AfD + CDU
53.5%
AfD + BSW + Die Linke
53.5%
SPD + CDU
46.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 23.10.2024 and 28.10.2024 among 1153 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 28%, SPD 22%, CDU 19%, BSW 14%, Die Linke 5% and Grüne 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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