Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Poll by Forsa from 03.02.2025

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Polling data

AfD
29.0
+4.0
SPD
21.0
+1.0
CDU
16.0
-3.0
BSW
9.0
-5.0
Linke
8.0
+2.0
Grüne
7.0
±0.0
FDP
3.0
±0.0
Others
7.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 26.09.2021
AfD
+12.3
SPD
-18.6
CDU
+2.7
BSW
New
Linke
-1.9
Grüne
+0.7
FDP
-2.8
Forsa – 1004 respondents – 28.01.2025-03.02.2025

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 35% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 48% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania from Forsa shows the following results: AfD 29%, SPD 21%, CDU 16%, BSW 9%, Die Linke 8%, Grüne 7% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.3 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-18.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Manuela Schwesig is currently governing with a Centre-left-wing coalition from Die Linke and SPD. With 32.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (28.01.2025 - 03.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

71
Majority requires 36 seats
Linke
6
8.5%
SPD
17
23.9%
Grüne
5
7%
BSW
7
9.9%
CDU
13
18.3%
AfD
23
32.4%
SPD + CDU + Die Linke + Grüne
57.7%
SPD + CDU + BSW
52.1%
AfD + CDU
50.7%
AfD + BSW + Die Linke
50.7%
SPD + CDU + Grüne
49.3%
SPD + BSW + Die Linke + Grüne
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 28.01.2025 and 03.02.2025 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 29%, SPD 21%, CDU 16%, BSW 9%, Die Linke 8%, Grüne 7% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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