Latest polls from IMAS
39.1
30.1
9.5
5.3
4.4
2.3
1.7
1.1
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.2
5.3
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in IMAS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.6 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, IMAS's average ranking is 5.5.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
6
1x on rank 6