Election Poll Moldova: Results from iData on April 28, 2025

According to iData, 5 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Moldova's parliament: PAS with 45 representatives, PSRM with 20 representatives, Blocul Victorie with 18 representatives, Blocul Alternativa with 11 representatives and PN with 7 representatives.

The Parliament of the Republic of Moldova comprises 101 deputies, elected for a four-year term. Since the 2022 electoral code reform, the entire Parliament is now elected via pure proportional representation within a single nationwide constituency. Voters cast their ballots for closed party lists. This system replaced a short-lived mixed-member proportional system, aiming to bolster political stability and diminish the influence of local oligarchic structures in single-member districts. Seat allocation directly reflects parties' nationwide vote share.

Moldova's parliamentary elections feature tiered electoral thresholds designed to prevent legislative fragmentation. Individual political parties must secure 5% of the nationwide valid votes to enter Parliament. For electoral blocs (alliances) comprising two or more parties, the threshold rises to 7%. Independent candidates can also compete, facing a reduced 2% threshold. Votes cast for parties failing to clear these hurdles are not factored into seat distribution, a mechanism intended to foster stable parliamentary majorities.

Government formation in Moldova adheres to parliamentary principles. Following elections and the Parliament's constitution, the President of the Republic, after consultations with parliamentary factions, nominates a candidate for Prime Minister. This nominee must secure parliamentary confidence for their cabinet and government program within 15 days. Given Moldova's frequent division between pro-European and pro-Russian forces, coalition negotiations often hinge on geopolitical alignment. A single-party government remains possible if one faction commands an absolute majority of the 101 seats.