Moldova: Poll by iData from 15.12.2023

Polling data

PAS
35.5
-0.1
PSRM
19.0
-0.3
SAN
17.8
-0.5
MAN
7.2
+2.0
PN
4.0
-0.6
PDCM
3.7
-1.4
PCRM
2.7
-0.1
PSDE
2.5
-0.8
PPDA
2.4
+0.3
CUB
1.3
+0.4
PDA
1.2
+1.2
PLDM
0.4
-0.2
Others
2.3
+0.1
Development since the last election on 11.07.2021
PAS
-17.3
PSRM
New
SAN
New
MAN
New
PN
New
PDCM
New
PCRM
New
PSDE
New
PPDA
+0.1
CUB
New
PDA
-0.3
PLDM
New
iData – 997 respondents – 02.12.2023-15.12.2023

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Moldova is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates MAN higher

In 40% of election polls, iData rates MAN higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PAS lower

In 35% of election polls iData rates PAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PDCM higher

In 30% of election polls, iData rates PDCM higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Moldova - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Moldova from iData shows the following results: PAS 35.5%, PSRM 19%, Șansă 17.8%, MAN 7.2%, PN 4%, PDCM 3.7%, PCRM 2.7%, PSDE 2.5%, PPDA 2.4%, CUB 1.3%, PDA 1.2% and PLDM 0.4%. If an election were held in Moldova this Sunday, PPDA might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.1 growth since the last election. PAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-17.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by iData. For this purpose, 997 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (02.12.2023 - 15.12.2023).

Coalition possibilities

101
Majority requires 51 seats
PSRM
24
23.9%
MAN
9
9.1%
PAS
46
44.7%
SAN
22
22.4%
PAS + PSRM
69.3%
PAS + Șansă
67.3%
PAS + MAN
54.5%
PAS
45.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Moldova was conducted by iData. The survey took place between 02.12.2023 and 15.12.2023 among 997 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PAS 35.5%, PSRM 19%, Șansă 17.8%, MAN 7.2%, PN 4%, PDCM 3.7%, PCRM 2.7%, PSDE 2.5%, PPDA 2.4%, CUB 1.3%, PDA 1.2% and PLDM 0.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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