Moldova: Poll by iData from 25.08.2024

Moldova: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PAS
37.0
-1.2
BV
17.1
-3.3
PSRM
16.1
-3.4
PN
11.2
+7.8
PCRM
4.1
+0.4
PDCM
3.5
-0.7
PSDE
2.5
-0.3
MAN
2.2
+0.4
BÎ
1.6
-3.3
Others
4.7
+3.6
Development since the last election on 11.07.2021
PAS
-15.8
BV
+17.1
PSRM
+16.1
PN
+11.2
PCRM
+4.1
PDCM
+3.5
PSDE
+2.5
MAN
+2.2
BÎ
+1.6
iData – 1004 respondents – 19.08.2024-25.08.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Moldova is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates BV higher

In 100% of election polls, iData rates BV higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates MAN higher

In 45% of election polls, iData rates MAN higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PAS lower

In 35% of election polls iData rates PAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PCRM higher

In 44% of election polls, iData rates PCRM higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PSRM higher

In 55% of election polls, iData rates PSRM higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Moldova - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Moldova from iData shows the following results: PAS 37%, BV 17.1%, PSRM 16.1%, PN 11.2%, PCRM 4.1%, PDCM 3.5%, PSDE 2.5%, MAN 2.2% and BÎ 1.6%. If an election were held in Moldova this Sunday, BV might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.1 growth since the last election. PAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-15.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by iData. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (19.08.2024 - 25.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

101
Majority requires 51 seats
BV
22
21.8%
PSRM
20
19.8%
PN
13
12.9%
PAS
46
45.5%
PAS + BV
67.3%
PAS + PSRM
65.3%
PAS + PN
58.4%
BV + PSRM + PN
54.5%
PAS
45.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Moldova was conducted by iData. The survey took place between 19.08.2024 and 25.08.2024 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PAS 37%, BV 17.1%, PSRM 16.1%, PN 11.2%, PCRM 4.1%, PDCM 3.5%, PSDE 2.5%, MAN 2.2% and BÎ 1.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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