Moldova: Poll by CBS Research from 16.10.2024

Moldova: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PAS
58.3
+6.1
PSRM
15.9
+3.3
BV
7.7
-4.3
PN
7.7
+1.6
PCRM
2.9
-3.4
PVM
2.7
-0.3
PDCM
1.1
-0.5
BÎ
0.9
-1.2
PSDE
0.9
-1.9
MAN
0.5
-0.9
Others
1.4
+1.5
Development since the last election on 11.07.2021
PAS
+5.5
PSRM
New
BV
New
PN
New
PCRM
New
PVM
New
PDCM
New
BÎ
New
PSDE
New
MAN
New
CBS Research – 1034 respondents – 11.10.2024-16.10.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Moldova is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates PAS higher

In 56% of election polls, CBS Research rates PAS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PN lower

In 44% of election polls CBS Research rates PN lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Moldova - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Moldova from CBS Research shows the following results: PAS 58.3%, PSRM 15.9%, BV 7.7%, PN 7.7%, PCRM 2.9%, PVM 2.7%, PDCM 1.1%, BÎ 0.9%, PSDE 0.9% and MAN 0.5%. If an election were held in Moldova this Sunday, PAS might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. PAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+5.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CBS Research. For this purpose, 1034 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (11.10.2024 - 16.10.2024).

Coalition possibilities

101
Majority requires 51 seats
BV
9
8.9%
PSRM
18
17.8%
PN
8
7.9%
PAS
66
65.3%
PAS
65.3%
PSRM + BV + PN
34.7%
PSRM + PN
25.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Moldova was conducted by CBS Research. The survey took place between 11.10.2024 and 16.10.2024 among 1034 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PAS 58.3%, PSRM 15.9%, BV 7.7%, PN 7.7%, PCRM 2.9%, PVM 2.7%, PDCM 1.1%, BÎ 0.9%, PSDE 0.9% and MAN 0.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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