Moldova: Poll by iData from 08.12.2024

Polling data

PAS
44.0
+6.4
PSRM
20.4
+5.0
BV
13.9
-3.6
PN
6.9
-6.5
MAN
5.3
+1.2
PCRM
2.4
+0.6
PDCM
1.9
-2.7
BÎ
1.6
+0.3
CUB
1.2
-0.3
PSDE
0.7
-0.9
PDA
0.1
+0.1
Others
1.6
+0.4
Development since the last election on 11.07.2021
PAS
-8.8
PSRM
New
BV
New
PN
New
MAN
New
PCRM
New
PDCM
New
BÎ
New
CUB
New
PSDE
New
PDA
-1.4
iData – 1006 respondents – 02.12.2024-08.12.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Moldova is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates MAN higher

In 45% of election polls, iData rates MAN higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PAS lower

In 39% of election polls iData rates PAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Moldova - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Moldova from iData shows the following results: PAS 44%, PSRM 20.4%, BV 13.9%, PN 6.9%, MAN 5.3%, PCRM 2.4%, PDCM 1.9%, BÎ 1.6%, CUB 1.2%, PSDE 0.7% and PDA 0.1%. If an election were held in Moldova this Sunday, PDA might gain the most in voter favorability with -1.4 growth since the last election. PAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by iData. For this purpose, 1006 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (02.12.2024 - 08.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

101
Majority requires 51 seats
BV
16
15.8%
PSRM
23
22.8%
MAN
5
5%
PN
7
6.9%
PAS
50
49.5%
PAS + PSRM
72.3%
PAS + BV
65.3%
PAS + PN
56.4%
PAS + MAN
54.5%
PSRM + BV + PN + MAN
50.5%
PAS
49.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Moldova was conducted by iData. The survey took place between 02.12.2024 and 08.12.2024 among 1006 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PAS 44%, PSRM 20.4%, BV 13.9%, PN 6.9%, MAN 5.3%, PCRM 2.4%, PDCM 1.9%, BÎ 1.6%, CUB 1.2%, PSDE 0.7% and PDA 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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