Moldova: Poll by Intellect Group from 21.02.2025

Moldova: Polling data

PAS
43.6
+3.4
PSRM
20.5
+3.9
BA
11.6
+11.6
PN
9.2
-5.6
BV
6.6
-6.1
PRIM
4.2
+4.2
PCRM
2.1
-2.3
BÎ
1.8
+1.8
Others
0.4
-10.9
Development since the last election on 11.07.2021
PAS
-9.2
PSRM
New
BA
New
PN
New
BV
New
PRIM
New
PCRM
New
BÎ
New
Intellect Group – 1179 respondents – 13.02.2025-21.02.2025

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Moldova is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Moldova - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Moldova from Intellect Group shows the following results: PAS 43.6%, PSRM 20.5%, BA 11.6%, PN 9.2%, BV 6.6%, PRIM 4.2%, PCRM 2.1% and BÎ 1.8%. If an election were held in Moldova this Sunday, PAS might gain the most in voter favorability with -9.2 growth since the last election. PAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Intellect Group. For this purpose, 1179 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (13.02.2025 - 21.02.2025).

Coalition possibilities

101
Majority requires 51 seats
BA
12
11.9%
BV
7
6.9%
PSRM
23
22.8%
PN
10
9.9%
PAS
49
48.5%
PAS + PSRM
71.3%
PAS + BA
60.4%
PAS + PN
58.4%
PAS + BV
55.4%
PSRM + BA + PN + BV
51.5%
PAS
48.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Moldova was conducted by Intellect Group. The survey took place between 13.02.2025 and 21.02.2025 among 1179 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PAS 43.6%, PSRM 20.5%, BA 11.6%, PN 9.2%, BV 6.6%, PRIM 4.2%, PCRM 2.1% and BÎ 1.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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