Latest voting intention survey by CeDem for Montenegro
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Montenegro conducted by CeDem, the parties received the following results: PES 26.3%, DPS 26%, NSD 11.3%, DCG 10%, BS 5.3%, DNP 4.2%, URA 3.4%, SDP 2.3%, SD 2.2% and SNP 2.2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1007 people during the period 19.03.2024 - 19.03.2024.
1007 participants
05.03.2024 - 19.03.2024
CeDem
PES
26.3
+2.0
DPS
26.0
+2.1
NSD
11.3
+0.4
DCG
10.0
±0.0
BS
5.3
-1.7
DNP
4.2
-1.5
URA
3.4
-0.5
SDP
2.3
-0.2
SD
2.2
+0.4
SNP
2.2
-0.8
Others
6.8
-0.2
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
81
Majority requires 41 seats
DPS
25
30.9%
URA
3
3.7%
PES
25
30.9%
DNP
3
3.7%
DCG
10
12.3%
BS
4
4.9%
NSD
11
13.6%
DPS + PES
PES + NSD + DCG
PES + NSD + BS + DNP
DPS + DCG + BS + URA
PES + DCG + BS + URA
PES + DCG + BS + DNP
DPS + DCG + BS + DNP
PES + DCG + URA + DNP
DPS + DCG + URA + DNP
PES + NSD + BS
63
PolitPro Score
CeDem achieves a score of 63/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.3
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in CeDem pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.3 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.33
|
Parliamentary Election in Montenegro 2020 | 2/2 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.