Latest voting intention survey by ICA for Montenegro
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Montenegro conducted by ICA, the parties received the following results: DPS 35.1%, ZbCG 25.9%, MjNN 15.5%, URA 7.5%, BS 5.4%, AL 4.4%, SDP 3.1% and SD 2.6%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1004 people during the period 11.08.2020 - 11.08.2020.
1004 participants
05.08.2020 - 11.08.2020
ICA
DPS
35.1
+2.3
ZbCG
25.9
±0.0
MjNN
15.5
±0.0
URA
7.5
+4.2
BS
5.4
+0.3
AL
4.4
-0.1
SDP
3.1
±0.0
SD
2.6
-0.1
Others
0.5
-6.6
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
81
Majority requires 41 seats
DPS
30
37%
SDP
2
2.5%
URA
7
8.6%
MjNN
13
16%
BS
4
4.9%
ZbCG
22
27.2%
AL
3
3.7%
DPS + MjNN
ZbCG + MjNN + BS + AL
DPS + URA + BS
?
PolitPro Score
ICA achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in ICA pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.11
|
Parliamentary Election in Montenegro 2020 | 1/2 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.