Montenegro Election Poll: Results from CeDem on December 29, 2022.

According to CeDem, 8 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Montenegro's parliament: DPS with 27 representatives, PES with 15 representatives, DF with 14 representatives, DCG with 13 representatives, URA with 4 representatives, BS with 3 representatives, SDP with 3 representatives and SNP with 2 representatives.

Montenegro's Parliament, the Skupština, comprises 81 deputies elected for a four-year term. The electoral system employs pure proportional representation within a single nationwide constituency, utilizing closed lists. A distinctive feature in Montenegro is the protection of national minorities: while most parties face a general electoral threshold, minority groups benefit from significantly lower hurdles. This ensures adequate representation for diverse population segments, including Bosniaks, Albanians, and Croats, in the Skupština.

Montenegro mandates a nationwide electoral threshold of 3% for parties to enter Parliament. For parties or coalitions representing national minorities (provided they constitute a maximum of 15% of the total population), this threshold drops to 0.7%. A special provision further applies to the Croatian minority: if none of their lists reach the 0.7% threshold, the list with the most votes still secures a mandate, provided it garners at least 0.35% of the total vote. These differentiated thresholds aim to balance political stability with inclusive representation.

Forming a government in Montenegro requires a majority of at least 41 out of 81 seats. Given that the proportional representation system often fragments the party landscape, coalitions are the norm. Following elections, the President proposes a Prime Minister after consultations with parliamentary factions. In political practice, minority parties frequently play a pivotal kingmaker role. Coalition negotiations typically focus on issues such as EU integration, anti-corruption efforts, and the nation's economic development.