Montenegro: Poll by NSPM from 12.12.2018

Polling data

DPS
42.7
±0.0
DF
18.4
±0.0
DCG
14.1
±0.0
SD
4.5
±0.0
SNP
4.4
±0.0
SDP
3.5
±0.0
BS
3.1
±0.0
URA
2.1
±0.0
AA
1.5
±0.0
PCG
1.3
±0.0
UCG
1.2
±0.0
DEMOS
1.2
±0.0
Sonst.
2.0
±0.0
NSPM – 1450 respondents – 01.12.2018-12.12.2018
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Montenegro is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Montenegro - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Montenegro from NSPM shows the following results: DPS 42.7%, DF 18.4%, DCG 14.1%, SD 4.5%, SNP 4.4%, SDP 3.5%, BS 3.1%, URA 2.1%, AA 1.5%, PCG 1.3%, UCG 1.2% and DEMOS 1.2%. If an election were held in Montenegro this Sunday, DPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +19.5 growth since the last election. BS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by NSPM. For this purpose, 1450 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 11 days (01.12.2018 - 12.12.2018).

Coalition possibilities

81
DPS
39
SD
4
SNP
3
SDP
3
DCG
13
BS
2
DF
17
Majority requires 41 seats
DPS + DCG
52
DPS + SD
43
DPS + SNP
42
DPS + SDP
42
DPS
39

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Montenegro was conducted by NSPM. The survey took place between 01.12.2018 and 12.12.2018 among 1450 eligible voters. After this election poll would get DPS 42.7%, DF 18.4%, DCG 14.1%, SD 4.5%, SNP 4.4%, SDP 3.5%, BS 3.1%, URA 2.1%, AA 1.5%, PCG 1.3%, UCG 1.2% and DEMOS 1.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.