Montenegro
Election trend
Parties

Montenegro: Poll by CeDem from 09.12.2019

Polling data

DPS
37.0
+3.0
DCG
15.0
+0.4
DF
13.2
-2.4
SNP
5.8
-0.8
BS
4.9
+0.6
SD
4.8
-0.5
SDP
4.1
+1.0
URA
3.7
-1.2
DEMOS
2.6
-1.1
PCG
2.2
-0.1
AA
1.6
-1.0
UCG
1.2
±0.0
Forca
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
2.9
+2.1
Development since the last election on 11.06.2023
DPS
+13.8
DCG
DF
SNP
BS
-2.2
SD
SDP
+1.2
URA
DEMOS
PCG
AA
UCG
Forca
CeDem – 1009 respondents – 01.12.2019-09.12.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Montenegro is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Montenegro - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Montenegro from CeDem shows the following results: DPS 37%, DCG 15%, DF 13.2%, SNP 5.8%, BS 4.9%, SD 4.8%, SDP 4.1%, URA 3.7%, DEMOS 2.6%, PCG 2.2%, AA 1.6%, UCG 1.2% and Forca 1%. If an election were held in Montenegro this Sunday, DPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.8 growth since the last election. BS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CeDem. For this purpose, 1009 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (01.12.2019 - 09.12.2019).

Coalition possibilities

81
DPS
34
SNP
6
SD
4
SDP
3
URA
3
DCG
14
BS
4
DF
13
Majority requires 41 seats
DPS + DCG
48
DPS + SNP + BS
44
DPS + SNP + SD
44
DPS + SNP + SDP
43
DPS + BS + SD
42
DPS + SNP + URA
43
DPS + BS + SDP
41
DPS + SD + SDP
41
DPS + BS + URA
41
DPS + SD + URA
41
DPS + SDP + URA
40
DPS + SNP
40

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Montenegro was conducted by CeDem. The survey took place between 01.12.2019 and 09.12.2019 among 1009 eligible voters. After this election poll would get DPS 37%, DCG 15%, DF 13.2%, SNP 5.8%, BS 4.9%, SD 4.8%, SDP 4.1%, URA 3.7%, DEMOS 2.6%, PCG 2.2%, AA 1.6%, UCG 1.2% and Forca 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.