Montenegro: Poll by CeDem from 12.08.2020

Montenegro: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
DPS
35.3
-1.7
ZbCG
24.7
±0.0
MjNN
16.5
±0.0
URA
6.6
+2.9
SD
5.3
+0.5
BS
4.8
-0.1
SDP
4.2
+0.1
AL
1.9
±0.0
Others
0.7
-1.7
Development since the last election on 11.06.2023
DPS
+12.1
ZbCG
+10.0
MjNN
New
URA
New
SD
New
BS
-2.3
SDP
+1.3
AL
New
CeDem – 1037 respondents – 05.08.2020-12.08.2020

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Montenegro is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Montenegro - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Montenegro from CeDem shows the following results: DPS 35.3%, ZbCG 24.7%, MjNN 16.5%, URA 6.6%, SD 5.3%, BS 4.8%, SDP 4.2% and AL 1.9%. If an election were held in Montenegro this Sunday, DPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.1 growth since the last election. BS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CeDem. For this purpose, 1037 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (05.08.2020 - 12.08.2020).

Coalition possibilities

81
Majority requires 41 seats
DPS
30
37%
SD
4
4.9%
SDP
3
3.7%
URA
6
7.4%
MjNN
14
17.3%
BS
3
3.7%
ZbCG
21
25.9%
DPS + MjNN
54.3%
DPS + URA + SD + SDP
53.1%
DPS + URA + SD + BS
53.1%
DPS + URA + SDP + BS
51.9%
DPS + URA + SD
49.4%
DPS + SD + SDP + BS
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Montenegro was conducted by CeDem. The survey took place between 05.08.2020 and 12.08.2020 among 1037 eligible voters. After this election poll would get DPS 35.3%, ZbCG 24.7%, MjNN 16.5%, URA 6.6%, SD 5.3%, BS 4.8%, SDP 4.2% and AL 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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