Montenegro: Poll by CeDem from 19.09.2020

Polling data

ZbCG
34.8
+10.1
DPS
29.2
-6.1
MjNN
14.1
-2.4
URA
8.3
+1.7
SD
4.8
-0.5
BS
3.8
-1.0
SDP
2.0
-2.2
Forca
1.9
±0.0
Sonst.
1.1
+0.4
Development since the last election on 11.06.2023
CeDem – 1035 respondents – 11.09.2020-19.09.2020
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Montenegro is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Montenegro - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Montenegro from CeDem shows the following results: ZbCG 34.8%, DPS 29.2%, MjNN 14.1%, URA 8.3%, SD 4.8%, BS 3.8%, SDP 2% and Forca 1.9%. If an election were held in Montenegro this Sunday, ZbCG might gain the most in voter favorability with +20.1 growth since the last election. BS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CeDem. For this purpose, 1035 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (11.09.2020 - 19.09.2020).

Coalition possibilities

81
DPS
25
SD
4
URA
7
MjNN
12
BS
3
ZbCG
30
Majority requires 41 seats
DPS + MjNN + URA
ZbCG + MjNN
42
DPS + MjNN + SD
DPS + MjNN + BS

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Montenegro was conducted by CeDem. The survey took place between 11.09.2020 and 19.09.2020 among 1035 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZbCG 34.8%, DPS 29.2%, MjNN 14.1%, URA 8.3%, SD 4.8%, BS 3.8%, SDP 2% and Forca 1.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.