Montenegro
Election trend
Parties

Montenegro: Poll by CeDem from 17.12.2022

Polling data

DPS
27.7
-0.5
PES
15.2
+4.3
DF
14.2
+0.2
DCG
13.1
-1.8
URA
4.9
+0.1
BS
4.1
+0.8
SDP
3.3
-0.1
SNP
3.2
-0.6
SD
2.9
+0.3
DUA
1.7
-0.1
AA
1.3
-1.0
PCG
1.1
-0.5
UCG
0.9
+0.9
Forca
0.8
+0.8
DEMOS
0.4
+0.4
LP
0.4
+0.4
SCG
0.3
-0.7
Sonst.
4.5
-2.9
Development since the last election on 11.06.2023
DPS
+4.5
PES
-10.4
DF
DCG
URA
BS
-3.0
SDP
+0.4
SNP
SD
DUA
AA
PCG
UCG
Forca
DEMOS
LP
SCG
CeDem – 1019 respondents – 02.12.2022-17.12.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Montenegro is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Montenegro - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Montenegro from CeDem shows the following results: DPS 27.7%, PES 15.2%, DF 14.2%, DCG 13.1%, URA 4.9%, BS 4.1%, SDP 3.3%, SNP 3.2%, SD 2.9%, DUA 1.7%, AA 1.3%, PCG 1.1%, UCG 0.9%, Forca 0.8%, DEMOS 0.4%, LP 0.4% and SCG 0.3%. If an election were held in Montenegro this Sunday, DPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.5 growth since the last election. PES, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CeDem. For this purpose, 1019 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 15 days (02.12.2022 - 17.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

81
DPS
27
SDP
3
SNP
2
URA
4
PES
15
DCG
13
BS
3
DF
14
Majority requires 41 seats
DPS + DCG + URA
44
DPS + DCG + BS
43
DPS + DCG + SDP
43
DPS + PES
42
PES + DF + DCG
42
PES + DF + DCG
42
DPS + DCG
40

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Montenegro was conducted by CeDem. The survey took place between 02.12.2022 and 17.12.2022 among 1019 eligible voters. After this election poll would get DPS 27.7%, PES 15.2%, DF 14.2%, DCG 13.1%, URA 4.9%, BS 4.1%, SDP 3.3%, SNP 3.2%, SD 2.9%, DUA 1.7%, AA 1.3%, PCG 1.1%, UCG 0.9%, Forca 0.8%, DEMOS 0.4%, LP 0.4% and SCG 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.