Montenegro: Poll by CeDem from 17.12.2022

Polling data

DPS
27.7
-0.5
ES
15.2
+4.3
DF
14.2
+0.2
DCG
13.1
-1.8
URA
4.9
+0.1
BS
4.1
+0.8
SDP
3.3
-0.1
SNP
3.2
-0.6
SD
2.9
+0.3
DUA
1.7
-0.1
AA
1.3
-1.0
PCG
1.1
-0.5
UCG
0.9
+0.9
Forca
0.8
+0.8
DEMOS
0.4
+0.4
LP
0.4
+0.4
SCG
0.3
-0.7
Others
4.5
+0.0
CeDem – 1019 respondents – 02.12.2022-17.12.2022
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Montenegro is expected to take place in 2024.

Coalition possibilities

DPS + ES + URA
55.7
DPS + ES + BS
54.8
ES + DF + DCG + BS
ES + DF + DCG + BS
DPS + ES + SDP
53.9
DPS + ES + SDP
53.9
DPS + ES + SNP
53.7
DPS + DCG + URA
53.3
DPS + DCG + BS
52.4
DPS + DCG + SDP
51.5
DPS + DCG + SNP
51.3
DPS + URA + BS + SDP + SNP
DPS + ES
50.0
ES + DF + DCG
49.6
ES + DF + DCG
49.6

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Montenegro was conducted by CeDem. The survey took place between 02.12.2022 and 17.12.2022 among 1019 eligible voters. After this election poll would get DPS 27.7%, ES 15.2%, DF 14.2%, DCG 13.1%, URA 4.9%, BS 4.1%, SDP 3.3%, SNP 3.2%, SD 2.9%, DUA 1.7%, AA 1.3%, PCG 1.1%, UCG 0.9%, Forca 0.8%, DEMOS 0.4%, LP 0.4% and SCG 0.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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