Montenegro
Election trend
Parties

Montenegro: Poll by CeDem from 14.05.2023

Polling data

PES
29.1
+13.9
DPS
24.1
-3.6
DF
13.2
-1.0
DCG
11.1
-2.0
BS
5.1
+1.0
URA
4.4
-0.5
SDP
2.2
-1.1
SNP
2.1
-1.1
AA
1.9
+0.6
SD
1.9
-1.0
SPP
1.1
+1.1
Sonst.
3.8
-6.3
Development since the last election on 11.06.2023
PES
+3.5
DPS
+0.9
DF
DCG
BS
-2.0
URA
SDP
-0.7
SNP
AA
SD
SPP
CeDem – 1003 respondents – 01.05.2023-14.05.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Montenegro is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Montenegro - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Montenegro from CeDem shows the following results: PES 29.1%, DPS 24.1%, DF 13.2%, DCG 11.1%, BS 5.1%, URA 4.4%, SDP 2.2%, SNP 2.1%, AA 1.9%, SD 1.9% and SPP 1.1%. If an election were held in Montenegro this Sunday, PES might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. BS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CeDem. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 13 days (01.05.2023 - 14.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

81
DPS
23
URA
4
PES
28
DCG
10
BS
4
DF
12
Majority requires 41 seats
PES + DF + DCG
50
PES + DF + DCG
50
PES + DPS
51
PES + DF + BS
44
PES + DF + BS
44
PES + DCG + BS
42
DPS + DCG + BS + URA
41
PES + DCG + URA
42
PES + DF
40
PES + DF
40

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Montenegro was conducted by CeDem. The survey took place between 01.05.2023 and 14.05.2023 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PES 29.1%, DPS 24.1%, DF 13.2%, DCG 11.1%, BS 5.1%, URA 4.4%, SDP 2.2%, SNP 2.1%, AA 1.9%, SD 1.9% and SPP 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.