Montenegro: Poll by NSPM from 02.12.2023

Montenegro: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PES
28.0
+28.0
DPS
19.6
-16.3
ZbCG
16.5
+16.5
DCG
9.5
-8.0
URA
6.4
+0.3
BS
6.0
+2.8
SDP
2.2
-1.2
AA
2.1
+2.1
SNP
2.1
-2.4
UCG
1.6
+1.6
SD
1.1
-0.7
Others
4.9
-22.7
Development since the last election on 11.06.2023
PES
+2.4
DPS
-3.6
ZbCG
+1.8
DCG
New
URA
New
BS
-1.1
SDP
-0.7
AA
New
SNP
New
UCG
New
SD
New
NSPM – 1000 respondents – 22.11.2023-02.12.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Montenegro is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Montenegro - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Montenegro from NSPM shows the following results: PES 28%, DPS 19.6%, ZbCG 16.5%, DCG 9.5%, URA 6.4%, BS 6%, SDP 2.2%, AA 2.1%, SNP 2.1%, UCG 1.6% and SD 1.1%. If an election were held in Montenegro this Sunday, PES might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.4 growth since the last election. DPS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by NSPM. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 10 days (22.11.2023 - 02.12.2023).

Coalition possibilities

81
Majority requires 41 seats
DPS
19
23.5%
URA
5
6.2%
PES
27
33.3%
DCG
9
11.1%
BS
5
6.2%
ZbCG
16
19.8%
PES + DPS
56.8%
PES + ZbCG
53.1%
PES + DCG + URA
50.6%
PES + DCG + BS
50.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Montenegro was conducted by NSPM. The survey took place between 22.11.2023 and 02.12.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PES 28%, DPS 19.6%, ZbCG 16.5%, DCG 9.5%, URA 6.4%, BS 6%, SDP 2.2%, AA 2.1%, SNP 2.1%, UCG 1.6% and SD 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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