Montenegro: Poll by CeDem from 27.12.2023

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PES
24.3
-4.8
DPS
23.9
-0.2
NSD
10.9
+10.9
DCG
10.0
-1.1
BS
7.0
+1.9
DNP
5.7
+5.7
URA
3.9
-0.5
SNP
3.0
+0.9
AF
2.8
+2.8
SDP
2.5
+0.3
SD
1.8
-0.1
Others
4.2
-15.8
CeDem – 1003 respondents – 12.12.2023-27.12.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Montenegro is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Montenegro - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Montenegro from CeDem shows the following results: PES 24.3%, DPS 23.9%, NSD 10.9%, DCG 10%, BS 7%, DNP 5.7%, URA 3.9%, SNP 3%, AF 2.8%, SDP 2.5% and SD 1.8%. If an election were held in Montenegro this Sunday, DPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.7 growth since the last election. PES, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CeDem. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 15 days (12.12.2023 - 27.12.2023).

Coalition possibilities

81
Majority requires 41 seats
DPS
22
27.2%
SNP
2
2.5%
URA
3
3.7%
PES
23
28.4%
DNP
5
6.2%
DCG
10
12.3%
BS
6
7.4%
NSD
10
12.3%
PES + DPS
55.6%
PES + DCG + BS + DNP
54.3%
PES + NSD + BS + DNP
54.3%
DPS + DCG + BS + DNP
53.1%
PES + DCG + NSD
53.1%
PES + DCG + BS + URA
51.9%
DPS + DCG + BS + URA
50.6%
PES + DCG + DNP + URA
50.6%
DPS + DCG + DNP + URA
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Montenegro was conducted by CeDem. The survey took place between 12.12.2023 and 27.12.2023 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PES 24.3%, DPS 23.9%, NSD 10.9%, DCG 10%, BS 7%, DNP 5.7%, URA 3.9%, SNP 3%, AF 2.8%, SDP 2.5% and SD 1.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.