Montenegro: Poll by CeDem from 19.03.2024

Polling data

PES
26.3
+2.0
DPS
26.0
+2.1
NSD
11.3
+0.4
DCG
10.0
±0.0
BS
5.3
-1.7
DNP
4.2
-1.5
URA
3.4
-0.5
SDP
2.3
-0.2
SD
2.2
+0.4
SNP
2.2
-0.8
Others
6.8
-0.2
Development since the last election on 11.06.2023
PES
+0.7
DPS
+2.8
NSD
New
DCG
New
BS
-1.8
DNP
New
URA
New
SDP
-0.6
SD
New
SNP
New
CeDem – 1007 respondents – 05.03.2024-19.03.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Montenegro is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Montenegro - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Montenegro from CeDem shows the following results: PES 26.3%, DPS 26%, NSD 11.3%, DCG 10%, BS 5.3%, DNP 4.2%, URA 3.4%, SDP 2.3%, SD 2.2% and SNP 2.2%. If an election were held in Montenegro this Sunday, DPS might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. BS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Currently governing with a Unknown orientation from . With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by CeDem. For this purpose, 1007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (05.03.2024 - 19.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

81
Majority requires 41 seats
DPS
25
30.1%
URA
3
3.9%
PES
25
30.4%
DNP
3
4.9%
DCG
10
11.6%
BS
4
6.1%
NSD
11
13.1%
PES + DPS
61.7%
PES + NSD + DCG
56.8%
PES + NSD + BS + DNP
53.1%
DPS + DCG + BS + URA
51.9%
PES + DCG + BS + URA
51.9%
PES + DCG + BS + DNP
51.9%
DPS + DCG + BS + DNP
51.9%
PES + DCG + DNP + URA
50.6%
DPS + DCG + DNP + URA
50.6%
PES + NSD + BS
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Montenegro was conducted by CeDem. The survey took place between 05.03.2024 and 19.03.2024 among 1007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PES 26.3%, DPS 26%, NSD 11.3%, DCG 10%, BS 5.3%, DNP 4.2%, URA 3.4%, SDP 2.3%, SD 2.2% and SNP 2.2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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