Latest voting intention survey by I&O Research for Netherlands
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Netherlands conducted by I&O Research, the parties received the following results: PVV 27.4%, GL/PvdA 14.6%, NSC 12.5%, VVD 10.4%, D66 6.6%, BBB 5.5%, SP 3.6%, CDA 3.4%, PvdD 3.3%, Volt 2.9%, FvD 2.2%, CU 2.2%, SGP 2%, Denk 1.8% and JA21 0.6%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2442 people during the period 11.12.2023 - 11.12.2023.
2442 participants
08.12.2023 - 11.12.2023
I&O Research
PVV
27.4
+10.8
GL/PvdA
14.6
-2.6
NSC
12.5
-1.2
VVD
10.4
-6.7
D66
6.6
+1.3
BBB
5.5
+1.3
SP
3.6
+0.8
CDA
3.4
+0.6
PvdD
3.3
±0.0
Volt
2.9
+0.4
FvD
2.2
-0.8
CU
2.2
-0.4
SGP
2.0
-0.3
DENK
1.8
-0.4
JA21
0.6
-0.7
Others
1.0
-2.1
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
150
Majority requires 76 seats
SP
5
3.3%
PvdD
5
3.3%
GL/PvdA
23
15.3%
Volt
4
2.7%
D66
10
6.7%
BBB
8
5.3%
DENK
2
1.3%
VVD
16
10.7%
NSC
20
13.3%
CDA
5
3.3%
CU
3
2%
SGP
3
2%
PVV
43
28.7%
FvD
3
2%
PVV + NSC + D66 + BBB
PVV + NSC + VVD
PVV + NSC + D66 + CDA
PVV + NSC + D66 + SP
PVV + NSC + D66 + PvdD
PVV + VVD + D66 + CDA + CU
PVV + VVD + D66 + CDA + FvD
PVV + VVD + D66 + BBB
PVV + VVD + D66 + CDA + SGP
PVV + VVD + D66 + CDA + SGP
GL/PvdA + NSC + VVD + D66 + BBB
PVV + NSC + BBB + CU + FvD
PVV + NSC + BBB + SGP + FvD
PVV + NSC + BBB + CU + SGP
PVV + NSC + D66 + FvD
PVV + NSC + BBB + CDA
PVV + NSC + D66 + CU
PVV + NSC + D66 + SGP
PVV + NSC + BBB + SP
PVV + NSC + BBB + PvdD
PVV + NSC + SP + PvdD + FvD
PVV + VVD + D66 + CU + FvD
PVV + VVD + BBB + CDA + FvD
PVV + VVD + BBB + CDA + CU
PVV + VVD + BBB + CDA + SGP
PVV + VVD + D66 + SGP + FvD
PVV + VVD + BBB + CDA + SGP
PVV + VVD + D66 + CU + SGP
PVV + VVD + D66 + SGP + FvD
PVV + VVD + D66 + CU + SGP
PVV + VVD + D66 + CDA
GL/PvdA + NSC + VVD + D66 + CDA
PVV + NSC + BBB + FvD
PVV + NSC + BBB + CU
PVV + NSC + CDA + CU + FvD
PVV + NSC + BBB + SGP
PVV + NSC + CDA + SGP + FvD
PVV + NSC + CDA + CU + SGP
77
PolitPro Score
I&O Research achieves a score of 77/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.6
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in I&O Research pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.6 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.76
|
Parliamentary Election in Niederlande 2023 | 1/2 |
|
1.34
|
Parliamentary Election in Niederlande 2021 | 1/4 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.