Current election polls and polling data from Ipsos

Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos for Netherlands

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Netherlands conducted by Ipsos, the parties received the following results: PVV 19%, GL/PvdA 16.7%, VVD 14.8%, CDA 11.8%, D66 8.2%, PvdD 5.2%, SP 3.5%, FvD 3.2%, JA21 2.8%, BBB 2.6%, SGP 2.6%, Volt 2.4%, Denk 2.3%, CU 2.2% and NSC 1.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2248 people during the period 06.06.2025 - 06.06.2025.
2248 participants
05.06.2025 - 06.06.2025
Ipsos
PVV
19.0
+0.7
GL/PvdA
16.7
-1.4
VVD
14.8
-1.9
CDA
11.8
+0.7
D66
8.2
+0.5
PvdD
5.2
+0.8
SP
3.5
-0.5
FvD
3.2
+0.4
JA21
2.8
+0.2
BBB
2.6
±0.0
SGP
2.6
+0.1
Volt
2.4
+0.1
DENK
2.3
-0.2
CU
2.2
-0.2
NSC
1.7
+0.5
Others
1.0
+0.2

Seats in parliament

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SP
5
3.3%
PvdD
8
5.3%
GL/PvdA
26
17.3%
Volt
3
2%
D66
12
8%
BBB
4
2.7%
DENK
3
2%
VVD
23
15.3%
CDA
18
12%
SGP
4
2.7%
CU
3
2%
NSC
2
1.3%
PVV
30
20%
FvD
5
3.3%
JA21
4
2.7%
PVV + VVD + CDA + D66
55.3%
PVV + VVD + CDA + SGP + JA21
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + BBB
PVV + VVD + CDA + SGP + BBB
PVV + VVD + CDA + SGP + BBB
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66
52.7%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + CU
PVV + VVD + CDA + SGP + CU
PVV + VVD + CDA + BBB + CU
PVV + VVD + CDA + FvD
50.7%
PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21
50.0%
PVV + VVD + CDA + SGP
50.0%
PVV + VVD + CDA + BBB
50.0%
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + SGP + BBB
PVV + VVD + CDA + CU
49.3%
PVV + VVD + D66 + FvD + BBB
PVV + VVD + D66 + FvD + JA21
PVV + VVD + D66 + FvD + SGP
PVV + VVD + D66 + FvD + SGP
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + BBB + CU
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + BBB + Volt
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + SGP + CU
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + SGP + Volt
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + BBB + Denk
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + SGP + Denk
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + BBB + Denk
GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + SGP + Denk

72

PolitPro Score

Ipsos achieves a score of 72/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
BBB
2
92
6
CDA
1
91
8
CU
1
99
0
D66
2
92
7
DENK
2
98
0
FvD
14
84
2
GL/PvdA
15
85
0
JA21
4
96
0
NSC
8
92
0
PVV
11
82
7
PvdD
0
99
1
SGP
0
100
0
SP
7
92
2
VVD
3
63
34
Volt
0
98
2

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

2.3

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.3 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.