Latest polls from Ipsos
31.1
15.6
12.6
7
6.6
4.5
4.1
3.1
2.8
2.3
2.3
2.1
1.7
1.7
1.3
1.2
31.1
15.9
12.4
7
7
5.4
4.3
3.1
2.9
2.4
2.2
2.1
1.5
1.1
0.8
0.8
31
16.5
11.1
6.3
6.3
4.5
4.5
3.2
3.2
3
2.6
2.5
2.2
1.8
0.7
0.6
28.4
16
12.2
11.9
6.9
4.2
3.4
3
2.5
2.4
2.2
2.1
1.7
1.7
0.9
0.5
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Ipsos's average ranking is 4.7.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
2x the second best prediction
3
5x the third best prediction
4
3x on rank 4
5
1x on rank 5
6
1x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
1x on rank 9