Current election polls and polling data from Ipsos

Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos for Netherlands

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Netherlands conducted by Ipsos, the parties received the following results: D66 15.4%, GL/PvdA 15%, PVV 14.8%, CDA 12.7%, VVD 10.9%, JA21 7.4%, FvD 4%, BBB 3.2%, SP 2.7%, PvdD 2.6%, SGP 2.4%, Denk 2.3%, CU 2.2%, 50Plus 2.1%, Volt 1.6% and NSC 0.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 2505 people during the period 28.10.2025 - 28.10.2025.
2505 participants
25.10.2025 - 28.10.2025
Ipsos
Development since the last election on 29.10.2025
D66
-1.5
GL/PvdA
+2.3
PVV
-2.0
CDA
+0.9
VVD
-3.3
JA21
+1.4
FvD
-0.6
BBB
+0.5
SP
+0.8
PvdD
+0.5
SGP
+0.1
DENK
-0.1
CU
+0.3
50+
+0.7
Volt
+0.5
NSC
+0.3
D66
15.4
+1.0
GL/PvdA
15.0
±0.0
PVV
14.8
-1.9
CDA
12.7
+0.1
VVD
10.9
+0.5
JA21
7.4
-0.3
FvD
4.0
+0.4
BBB
3.2
+0.5
SP
2.7
-0.1
PvdD
2.6
-0.4
SGP
2.4
-0.1
DENK
2.3
-0.1
CU
2.2
±0.0
50+
2.1
+0.8
Volt
1.6
-0.6
NSC
0.7
+0.2

Seats in parliament

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SP
4
2.7%
PvdD
4
2.7%
D66
24
16%
GL/PvdA
23
15.3%
Volt
2
1.3%
BBB
4
2.7%
DENK
3
2%
VVD
17
11.3%
CDA
19
12.7%
SGP
3
2%
CU
3
2%
50+
3
2%
NSC
1
0.7%
PVV
23
15.3%
JA21
11
7.3%
FvD
6
4%
D66 + PVV + CDA + VVD
55.3%
D66 + GL/PvdA + CDA + VVD
55.3%
D66 + PVV + VVD + JA21 + FvD
54.0%
D66 + PVV + VVD + JA21 + BBB
52.7%
D66 + PVV + VVD + JA21 + CU
52.0%
D66 + PVV + VVD + JA21 + SGP
52.0%
D66 + PVV + VVD + JA21 + SGP
52.0%
D66 + PVV + VVD + JA21 + 50Plus
52.0%
D66 + PVV + CDA + JA21
51.3%
D66 + CDA + VVD + JA21 + FvD
51.3%
PVV + CDA + VVD + JA21 + FvD
50.7%
D66 + PVV + CDA + FvD + BBB
50.7%
D66 + PVV + CDA + FvD + CU
50.0%
D66 + PVV + VVD + JA21
50.0%
D66 + CDA + VVD + JA21 + BBB
50.0%
D66 + PVV + CDA + FvD + SGP
50.0%
D66 + PVV + CDA + FvD + SGP
50.0%
D66 + PVV + CDA + FvD + 50Plus
50.0%
D66 + PVV + VVD + FvD + BBB
49.3%
PVV + CDA + VVD + JA21 + BBB
49.3%
D66 + CDA + VVD + JA21 + CU
49.3%
D66 + CDA + VVD + JA21 + SGP
49.3%
D66 + CDA + VVD + JA21 + SGP
49.3%
D66 + CDA + VVD + JA21 + 50Plus
49.3%
76

PolitPro Score

Ipsos achieves a score of 76/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
50+
0
100
0
BBB
2
93
5
CDA
1
91
8
CU
1
99
0
D66
2
90
8
DENK
2
98
0
FvD
14
85
2
GL/PvdA
13
87
0
JA21
4
96
0
NSC
8
92
0
PVV
12
82
6
PvdD
0
99
1
SGP
0
100
0
SP
6
92
2
VVD
3
65
32
Volt
0
98
2

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

2.1

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.56
 Parliamentary Election in Netherlands 2025 1/1
2.59
 Parliamentary Election in Netherlands 2023 2/2
2.1
 Parliamentary Election in Netherlands 2021 3/4

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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