Current election polls and polling data from Kantar Public

Latest voting intention survey by Kantar Public for Netherlands

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Netherlands conducted by Kantar Public, the parties received the following results: VVD 19%, PVV 10%, PvdA 9%, D66 8%, GroenLinks 8%, BBB 8%, CDA 6%, PvdD 5%, SP 4%, CU 4%, JA21 4%, Volt 4%, FvD 3%, SGP 3%, Denk 3%, Bij1 1% and 50Plus 1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1078 people during the period 27.05.2022 - 27.05.2022.
1078 participants
25.05.2022 - 27.05.2022
Kantar Public
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
VVD
+3.7
PVV
-13.5
PvdA
+9.0
D66
+1.7
GL
+8.0
BBB
+3.4
CDA
+2.7
PvdD
+2.7
SP
+0.9
CU
+2.0
JA21
+3.3
Volt
+2.3
FvD
+0.8
SGP
+0.9
DENK
+0.6
B1
+0.6
50+
+0.5
VVD
19.0
-6.4
PVV
10.0
-0.7
PvdA
9.0
+0.8
D66
8.0
-1.4
GL
8.0
+0.6
BBB
8.0
+8.0
CDA
6.0
-5.9
PvdD
5.0
+0.9
SP
4.0
-3.7
CU
4.0
-0.1
JA21
4.0
+2.9
Volt
4.0
+2.9
FvD
3.0
+3.0
SGP
3.0
+1.5
DENK
3.0
+1.9
B1
1.0
+0.7
50+
1.0
-1.5
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SP
6
4%
B1
1
0.7%
PvdD
7
4.7%
PvdA
14
9.3%
Volt
6
4%
GL
12
8%
D66
12
8%
BBB
12
8%
DENK
4
2.7%
VVD
30
20%
CDA
9
6%
CU
6
4%
SGP
4
2.7%
50+
1
0.7%
PVV
16
10.7%
JA21
6
4%
FvD
4
2.7%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + GroenLinks + BBB
53.3%
VVD + PVV + D66 + BBB + CDA
52.7%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + GroenLinks + CDA
51.3%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + BBB + CDA
51.3%
VVD + PvdA + GroenLinks + BBB + CDA
51.3%
VVD + PVV + D66 + BBB + CU
50.7%
VVD + PVV + D66 + BBB + JA21
50.7%
VVD + D66 + GroenLinks + BBB + CDA
50.0%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + GroenLinks + CU
49.3%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + BBB + CU
49.3%
VVD + PvdA + GroenLinks + BBB + CU
49.3%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + BBB + Volt
49.3%
VVD + PvdA + D66 + GroenLinks + Volt
49.3%
VVD + PvdA + GroenLinks + BBB + Volt
49.3%
VVD + PVV + D66 + BBB + FvD
49.3%
VVD + PVV + D66 + BBB + SGP
49.3%
VVD + PVV + D66 + BBB + SGP
49.3%
59

PolitPro Score

Kantar Public achieves a score of 59/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
50+
0
91
9
B1
Not enough data available
BBB
Not enough data available
CDA
27
73
0
CU
0
91
9
D66
9
91
0
DENK
36
64
0
FvD
30
60
10
GL
0
64
36
JA21
Not enough data available
PVV
9
73
18
PvdA
18
82
0
PvdD
18
73
9
SGP
0
100
0
SP
0
91
9
VVD
9
36
55
Volt
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

2.1

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Kantar Public pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
2.11
 Parliamentary Election in Niederlande 2021 4/4

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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