Latest polls from Kantar Public
19
10
9
8
8
8
6
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
1
1
25.4
11.9
10.7
9.4
8.2
7.7
7.4
4.1
4.1
2.5
1.5
1.1
1.1
1.1
0.3
3.5
20
12
11.3
10.7
8
8
6.7
6
5.3
4.7
4
2.7
0.7
0
20.7
10.7
10.7
10
8.7
8
7.3
6
5.3
4.7
4
2
2
0
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Kantar Public pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.0 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Kantar Public's average ranking is 5.8.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
2x the third best prediction
4
1x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
0x on rank 9
10
0x on rank 10
11
0x on rank 11
12
0x on rank 12
13
1x on rank 13