Current election polls and polling data from Peil.nl

Latest voting intention survey by Peil.nl for countries.NL

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in countries.NL conducted by Peil.nl, the parties received the following results: PVV 34.7%, GL/PvdA 16.7%, VVD 8.7%, NSC 7.3%, D66 6.7%, BBB 5.3%, CDA 5.3%, SP 4%, CU 2%, Denk 2%, FvD 2%, PvdD 2%, SGP 2% and Volt 1.3%. The voting intention survey was conducted during the period 09.02.2024. The sample size is unknown.
Unbekannt
09.02.2024
Peil.nl
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
PVV
+11.2
GL/PvdA
+0.9
VVD
-6.6
NSC
-5.6
D66
+0.4
BBB
+0.7
CDA
+2.0
SP
+0.9
CU
±0.0
DENK
-0.4
FvD
-0.2
PvdD
-0.3
SGP
-0.1
Volt
-0.4
PVV
34.7
+2.0
GL/PvdA
16.7
+1.4
VVD
8.7
+0.7
NSC
7.3
-4.0
D66
6.7
±0.0
BBB
5.3
-0.7
CDA
5.3
+1.3
SP
4.0
±0.0
CU
2.0
±0.0
DENK
2.0
±0.0
FvD
2.0
±0.0
PvdD
2.0
±0.0
SGP
2.0
±0.0
Volt
1.3
-0.7
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SP
6
4%
PvdD
3
2%
GL/PvdA
25
16.7%
Volt
1
0.7%
D66
10
6.7%
BBB
8
5.3%
DENK
3
2%
VVD
13
8.7%
NSC
11
7.3%
CDA
8
5.3%
CU
3
2%
SGP
3
2%
PVV
53
35.3%
FvD
3
2%
PVV + VVD + CDA + BBB
54.7%
PVV + NSC + D66 + BBB
54.7%
PVV + NSC + D66 + CDA
54.7%
PVV + NSC + CDA + BBB
53.3%
PVV + NSC + D66 + SP
53.3%
PVV + D66 + CDA + BBB
52.7%
PVV + NSC + BBB + CU + FvD
52.0%
PVV + NSC + CDA + CU + FvD
52.0%
PVV + NSC + BBB + SGP + FvD
52.0%
PVV + NSC + CDA + SGP + FvD
52.0%
PVV + NSC + BBB + CU + SGP
52.0%
PVV + NSC + CDA + CU + SGP
52.0%
PVV + NSC + BBB + SP
52.0%
PVV + NSC + BBB + PvdD + FvD
52.0%
PVV + VVD + CDA + FvD
51.3%
PVV + VVD + CDA + CU
51.3%
PVV + VVD + CDA + SGP
51.3%
PVV + D66 + CDA + CU + FvD
51.3%
PVV + VVD + BBB + FvD
51.3%
PVV + VVD + BBB + CU
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + CU + FvD
51.3%
PVV + VVD + BBB + SGP
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + SGP + FvD
51.3%
PVV + VVD + BBB + SGP
51.3%
PVV + D66 + CDA + SGP + FvD
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + CU + SGP
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + SGP + FvD
51.3%
PVV + D66 + CDA + CU + SGP
51.3%
PVV + D66 + CDA + SGP + FvD
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + CU + SGP
51.3%
PVV + D66 + CDA + CU + SGP
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + SP
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + SP
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + PvdD + FvD
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + PvdD + FvD
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + Denk + FvD
51.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + PvdD + Denk
51.3%
PVV + NSC + D66 + FvD
51.3%
PVV + VVD + NSC
51.3%
PVV + NSC + D66 + CU
51.3%
PVV + NSC + D66 + SGP
51.3%
PVV + NSC + D66 + PvdD
51.3%
PVV + VVD + D66
50.7%
PVV + NSC + SP + PvdD + FvD
50.7%
PVV + VVD + CU + SGP + FvD
50.0%
PVV + D66 + SP + PvdD + FvD
50.0%
PVV + CDA + BBB + CU + FvD
50.0%
PVV + CDA + BBB + SGP + FvD
50.0%
PVV + CDA + BBB + CU + SGP
50.0%
PVV + CDA + BBB + SGP + FvD
50.0%
PVV + CDA + BBB + CU + SGP
50.0%
PVV + D66 + SP + Denk + FvD
50.0%
PVV + D66 + SP + PvdD + Denk
50.0%
PVV + NSC + BBB + FvD
50.0%
PVV + NSC + CDA + FvD
50.0%
PVV + NSC + BBB + CU
50.0%
PVV + NSC + CDA + CU
50.0%
PVV + NSC + BBB + SGP
50.0%
PVV + NSC + CDA + SGP
50.0%
PVV + NSC + BBB + PvdD
50.0%
PVV + VVD + CDA
49.3%
PVV + D66 + CDA + CU
49.3%
PVV + D66 + CDA + FvD
49.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + FvD
49.3%
PVV + VVD + BBB
49.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + CU
49.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + SGP
49.3%
PVV + D66 + CDA + SGP
49.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + SGP
49.3%
PVV + D66 + CDA + SGP
49.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + PvdD
49.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + PvdD
49.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + Denk
49.3%
PVV + D66 + BBB + Denk
49.3%
PVV + NSC + D66
49.3%
64

PolitPro Score

Peil.nl achieves a score of 64/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
BBB
Not enough data available
CDA
16
78
6
CU
1
99
1
D66
8
90
2
DENK
0
79
21
FvD
1
57
42
GL/PvdA
Not enough data available
NSC
Not enough data available
PVV
22
57
21
PvdD
0
99
1
SGP
0
100
0
SP
0
97
3
VVD
66
34
0
Volt
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.7

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Peil.nl pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.68
 Parliamentary Election in Niederlande 2021 2/4

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.
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