Latest polls from Peil.nl
34.7
16.7
8.7
7.3
6.7
5.3
5.3
4
2
2
2
2
2
1.3
32.7
15.3
11.3
8
6.7
6
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
2
0
20.7
16
12
11.3
7.3
6.7
5.3
4
4
4
2
2
2
1.3
0.7
0.7
21.3
16
11.3
9.3
8
6
6
4.7
4.7
3.3
2
2
1.3
1.3
1.3
0.7
0.8
Rating of parties
Institute often rates FvD higher
In 42% of election polls, Peil.nl rates FvD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates VVD lower
In 66% of election polls Peil.nl rates VVD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Peil.nl pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Peil.nl's average ranking is 2.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction