Netherlands
Election trend
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Elections

Netherlands: Poll by Kantar from 21.12.2020

Polling data

VVD
27.9
+2.7
PVV
12.1
-4.6
CDA
10.9
+3.3
D66
9.9
+0.9
PvdA
9.4
+1.8
GL
6.8
-2.2
CU
6.6
+1.3
SP
5.8
-0.8
PvdD
3.8
+1.3
SGP
1.9
-0.3
DENK
1.4
-0.6
FvD
1.4
-2.9
50+
1.0
-0.5
Others
1.1
0.0
Development since the last election on 17.03.2021
VVD
+6.0
PVV
+1.3
CDA
+1.4
D66
-5.1
PvdA
+3.7
GL
+1.6
CU
+3.2
SP
-0.2
PvdD
±0.0
SGP
-0.2
DENK
-0.6
FvD
-3.6
50+
±0.0
Kantar – 1238 respondents – 18.12.2020-21.12.2020
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2025.
Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from Kantar shows the following results: VVD 27.9%, PVV 12.1%, CDA 10.9%, D66 9.9%, PvdA 9.4%, GroenLinks 6.8%, CU 6.6%, SP 5.8%, PvdD 3.8%, SGP 1.9%, Denk 1.4%, FvD 1.4% and 50Plus 1%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, VVD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.0 growth since the last election. D66, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mark Rutte is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from VVD, CDA, D66 and CU. With 55.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1238 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (18.12.2020 - 21.12.2020).

Coalition possibilities

VVD + CDA + D66 + PvdA
58.7
VVD + CDA + D66 + GroenLinks
56.1
VVD + CDA + D66 + CU
55.9
VVD + CDA + PvdA + GroenLinks
55.6
VVD + CDA + PvdA + CU
55.4
VVD + D66 + PvdA + GroenLinks
54.6
VVD + D66 + PvdA + CU
54.4
VVD + CDA + GroenLinks + CU
52.8
VVD + D66 + GroenLinks + CU
51.8
VVD + PVV + CDA
51.4
VVD + PvdA + GroenLinks + CU
51.3
VVD + PVV + D66
50.4
VVD + CDA + D66
49.2

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 18.12.2020 and 21.12.2020 among 1238 eligible voters. After this election poll would get VVD 27.9%, PVV 12.1%, CDA 10.9%, D66 9.9%, PvdA 9.4%, GroenLinks 6.8%, CU 6.6%, SP 5.8%, PvdD 3.8%, SGP 1.9%, Denk 1.4%, FvD 1.4% and 50Plus 1%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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