Netherlands
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
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Netherlands: Poll by Peil.nl from 13.03.2021

Polling data

VVD
20.7
-0.6
PVV
16.0
±0.0
CDA
12.0
+0.7
D66
11.3
+2.0
PvdA
7.3
-0.7
SP
6.7
+0.7
GL
5.3
-0.7
CU
4.0
-0.7
PvdD
4.0
-0.7
FvD
4.0
+0.7
SGP
2.0
±0.0
JA21
2.0
±0.0
Volt
2.0
+0.7
DENK
1.3
±0.0
50+
0.7
-0.6
B1
0.7
±0.0
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
VVD
+5.4
PVV
-7.5
CDA
+8.7
D66
+5.0
PvdA
New
SP
+3.6
GL
New
CU
+2.0
PvdD
+1.7
FvD
+1.8
SGP
-0.1
JA21
+1.3
Volt
+0.3
DENK
-1.1
50+
+0.2
B1
+0.3
Peil.nl – 3000 respondents – 12.03.2021-13.03.2021

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates FvD higher

In 42% of election polls, Peil.nl rates FvD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PvdA higher

In 50% of election polls, Peil.nl rates PvdA higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates VVD lower

In 66% of election polls Peil.nl rates VVD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from Peil.nl shows the following results: VVD 20.7%, PVV 16%, CDA 12%, D66 11.3%, PvdA 7.3%, SP 6.7%, GroenLinks 5.3%, CU 4%, PvdD 4%, FvD 4%, SGP 2%, JA21 2%, Volt 2%, Denk 1.3%, 50Plus 0.7% and Bij1 0.7%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, CDA might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.7 growth since the last election. PVV, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dick Schoof is currently governing with a Centre-right coalition from VVD, PVV, BBB and NSC. With 36.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Peil.nl. For this purpose, 3000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (12.03.2021 - 13.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

150
SP
10
B1
1
PvdD
6
PvdA
11
Volt
3
GL
8
D66
17
DENK
2
VVD
31
CDA
18
CU
6
SGP
3
50+
1
PVV
24
FvD
6
JA21
3
Majority requires 76 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by Peil.nl. The survey took place between 12.03.2021 and 13.03.2021 among 3000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get VVD 20.7%, PVV 16%, CDA 12%, D66 11.3%, PvdA 7.3%, SP 6.7%, GroenLinks 5.3%, CU 4%, PvdD 4%, FvD 4%, SGP 2%, JA21 2%, Volt 2%, Denk 1.3%, 50Plus 0.7% and Bij1 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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