Netherlands
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Elections

Netherlands: Poll by Ipsos from 26.09.2022

Polling data

VVD
16.1
-1.0
PVV
12.5
+1.0
D66
10.0
-1.3
BBB
9.4
-0.7
PvdA
7.8
+2.3
GL
7.2
+0.1
PvdD
6.4
+0.6
CDA
5.7
-0.1
JA21
5.2
-0.9
SP
4.8
±0.0
CU
3.0
-0.4
DENK
2.7
+0.5
FvD
2.4
-0.3
SGP
2.3
±0.0
Volt
2.0
+0.5
B1
0.9
+0.2
50+
0.6
±0.0
Others
1.0
+0.0
Development since the last election on 17.03.2021
VVD
-5.8
PVV
+1.7
D66
-5.0
BBB
+8.4
PvdA
+2.1
GL
+2.0
PvdD
+2.6
CDA
-3.8
JA21
+2.8
SP
-1.2
CU
-0.4
DENK
+0.7
FvD
-2.6
SGP
+0.2
Volt
-0.4
B1
+0.1
50+
-0.4
Ipsos – 1003 respondents – 23.09.2022-26.09.2022

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from Ipsos shows the following results: VVD 16.1%, PVV 12.5%, Democraten 66 10%, BBB 9.4%, Partij van de Arbeid 7.8%, GroenLinks 7.2%, Partij voor de Dieren 6.4%, Christen-Democratisch Appèl 5.7%, JA21 5.2%, Socialistische Partij 4.8%, ChristenUnie 3%, Denk 2.7%, Forum voor Democratie 2.4%, Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.3%, Volt 2%, Bij1 0.9% and 50Plus 0.6%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, BBB might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.4 growth since the last election. VVD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mark Rutte is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from VVD, Christen-Democratisch Appèl, Democraten 66 and ChristenUnie. With 35.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (23.09.2022 - 26.09.2022).

Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2025.

Coalition possibilities

VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + BBB + Christen-Democratisch Appèl
54.7
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + BBB + JA21
54.2
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + BBB + ChristenUnie
51.9
VVD + Democraten 66 + BBB + Partij van de Arbeid + GroenLinks
51.4
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + Christen-Democratisch Appèl + JA21
50.4
VVD + Democraten 66 + BBB + Partij van de Arbeid + Christen-Democratisch Appèl
49.9
VVD + PVV + BBB + Christen-Democratisch Appèl + JA21
49.8
VVD + Democraten 66 + BBB + GroenLinks + Christen-Democratisch Appèl
49.3
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 35.4% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 23.09.2022 and 26.09.2022 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get VVD 16.1%, PVV 12.5%, Democraten 66 10%, BBB 9.4%, Partij van de Arbeid 7.8%, GroenLinks 7.2%, Partij voor de Dieren 6.4%, Christen-Democratisch Appèl 5.7%, JA21 5.2%, Socialistische Partij 4.8%, ChristenUnie 3%, Denk 2.7%, Forum voor Democratie 2.4%, Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.3%, Volt 2%, Bij1 0.9% and 50Plus 0.6%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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