Netherlands
Election trend
Parties

Netherlands: Poll by I&O Research from 14.11.2022

Polling data

VVD
13.6
-1.0
PVV
11.6
+0.9
GL
9.1
+1.2
BBB
8.4
-1.5
D66
7.8
-1.8
JA21
7.4
-0.4
PvdA
6.7
-0.7
SP
5.7
+0.6
PvdD
5.2
+0.3
CDA
4.6
+0.5
CU
4.1
+0.8
FvD
3.2
-0.6
SGP
2.8
+0.2
Volt
2.6
-1.0
DENK
1.5
-0.1
50+
1.2
+0.4
B1
1.0
-0.1
BVNL
0.8
-0.2
Sonst.
2.7
+2.5
Development since the last election on 22.11.2023
VVD
-1.7
PVV
-11.9
GL
BBB
+3.8
D66
+1.5
JA21
+6.7
PvdA
SP
+2.6
PvdD
+2.9
CDA
+1.3
CU
+2.1
FvD
+1.0
SGP
+0.7
Volt
+0.9
DENK
-0.9
50+
+0.7
B1
+0.6
BVNL
+0.3
I&O Research – 2069 respondents – 11.11.2022-14.11.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from I&O Research shows the following results: VVD 13.6%, PVV 11.6%, GroenLinks 9.1%, BBB 8.4%, D66 7.8%, JA21 7.4%, PvdA 6.7%, SP 5.7%, PvdD 5.2%, CDA 4.6%, CU 4.1%, FvD 3.2%, SGP 2.8%, Volt 2.6%, Denk 1.5%, 50Plus 1.2%, Bij1 1% and BVNL 0.8%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, JA21 might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.7 growth since the last election. PVV, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mark Rutte is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from VVD, CDA, D66 and CU. With 30.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by I&O Research. For this purpose, 2069 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (11.11.2022 - 14.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

150
SP
9
DENK
2
B1
1
PvdD
8
PvdA
11
Volt
4
GL
14
BBB
13
D66
12
VVD
22
CDA
7
CU
6
SGP
4
50+
1
PVV
18
JA21
12
FvD
5
BVNL
1
Majority requires 76 seats

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by I&O Research. The survey took place between 11.11.2022 and 14.11.2022 among 2069 eligible voters. After this election poll would get VVD 13.6%, PVV 11.6%, GroenLinks 9.1%, BBB 8.4%, D66 7.8%, JA21 7.4%, PvdA 6.7%, SP 5.7%, PvdD 5.2%, CDA 4.6%, CU 4.1%, FvD 3.2%, SGP 2.8%, Volt 2.6%, Denk 1.5%, 50Plus 1.2%, Bij1 1% and BVNL 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.