Netherlands: Poll by Ipsos from 28.11.2022

Polling data

VVD
17.2
-0.1
PVV
12.0
-1.4
D66
11.0
+0.7
BBB
7.9
+0.3
GL
7.5
+1.3
PvdA
6.5
-0.4
JA21
5.8
+0.1
PvdD
5.8
-0.6
SP
5.7
+0.2
CDA
5.4
+0.4
CU
3.1
+0.2
Volt
3.1
+0.1
SGP
2.0
-0.3
DENK
2.0
-0.1
FvD
1.4
-0.5
B1
1.3
+0.2
50+
0.6
+0.1
Others
1.7
+0.0
Ipsos – 1040 respondents – 25.11.2022-28.11.2022
Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2025.

Coalition possibilities

VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + BBB + Christen-Democratisch Appèl
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + JA21 + Christen-Democratisch Appèl
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + BBB + ChristenUnie
VVD + Democraten 66 + BBB + GroenLinks + Partij van de Arbeid
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + JA21 + ChristenUnie
VVD + Democraten 66 + BBB + GroenLinks + Christen-Democratisch Appèl
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + Christen-Democratisch Appèl + ChristenUnie
VVD + PVV + BBB + JA21 + Christen-Democratisch Appèl
VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + BBB
VVD + Democraten 66 + BBB + Partij van de Arbeid + Christen-Democratisch Appèl
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 37.6% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 25.11.2022 and 28.11.2022 among 1040 eligible voters. After this election poll would get VVD 17.2%, PVV 12%, Democraten 66 11%, BBB 7.9%, GroenLinks 7.5%, Partij van de Arbeid 6.5%, JA21 5.8%, Partij voor de Dieren 5.8%, Socialistische Partij 5.7%, Christen-Democratisch Appèl 5.4%, ChristenUnie 3.1%, Volt 3.1%, Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2%, Denk 2%, Forum voor Democratie 1.4%, Bij1 1.3% and 50Plus 0.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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