Netherlands
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Elections

Netherlands: Poll by I&O Research from 16.01.2023

Polling data

VVD
15.0
+2.1
PVV
11.5
+0.1
GL
8.1
-0.3
D66
8.1
+0.8
JA21
7.6
-0.8
BBB
7.5
-1.0
SP
6.4
+0.8
PvdA
5.9
-0.9
PvdD
5.4
-0.8
CDA
3.9
-0.4
CU
3.6
-0.1
Volt
3.3
-0.2
SGP
3.1
-0.3
FvD
2.9
+0.4
DENK
2.4
+1.4
B1
1.0
-0.2
BVNL
0.8
+0.5
50+
0.3
-0.7
Others
3.2
0.0
Development since the last election on 17.03.2021
VVD
-6.9
PVV
+0.7
GL
+2.9
D66
-6.9
JA21
+5.2
BBB
+6.5
SP
+0.4
PvdA
+0.2
PvdD
+1.6
CDA
-5.6
CU
+0.2
Volt
+0.9
SGP
+1.0
FvD
-2.1
DENK
+0.4
B1
+0.2
BVNL
50+
-0.7
I&O Research – 1731 respondents – 13.01.2023-16.01.2023

Netherlands - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Netherlands from I&O Research shows the following results: VVD 15%, PVV 11.5%, GroenLinks 8.1%, Democraten 66 8.1%, JA21 7.6%, BBB 7.5%, Socialistische Partij 6.4%, Partij van de Arbeid 5.9%, Partij voor de Dieren 5.4%, Christen-Democratisch Appèl 3.9%, ChristenUnie 3.6%, Volt 3.3%, Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3.1%, Forum voor Democratie 2.9%, Denk 2.4%, Bij1 1%, BVNL 0.8% and 50Plus 0.3%. If an election were held in Netherlands this Sunday, BBB might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.5 growth since the last election. Democraten 66, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mark Rutte is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from VVD, Christen-Democratisch Appèl, Democraten 66 and ChristenUnie. With 31.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by I&O Research. For this purpose, 1731 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (13.01.2023 - 16.01.2023).

Next election: 2025
The next parliamentary election in Netherlands is expected to take place in 2025.

Coalition possibilities

VVD + PVV + Democraten 66 + JA21 + BBB
51.5
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 31.6% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Netherlands was conducted by I&O Research. The survey took place between 13.01.2023 and 16.01.2023 among 1731 eligible voters. After this election poll would get VVD 15%, PVV 11.5%, GroenLinks 8.1%, Democraten 66 8.1%, JA21 7.6%, BBB 7.5%, Socialistische Partij 6.4%, Partij van de Arbeid 5.9%, Partij voor de Dieren 5.4%, Christen-Democratisch Appèl 3.9%, ChristenUnie 3.6%, Volt 3.3%, Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3.1%, Forum voor Democratie 2.9%, Denk 2.4%, Bij1 1%, BVNL 0.8% and 50Plus 0.3%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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